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Our hopelessly compromised scientific establishment cannot be allowed to get away with the Climategate whitewash, says Christopher Booker.
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A week after my colleague James Delingpole, on his Telegraph blog, coined the term "Climategate" to describe the scandal revealed by the leaked emails from the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit, Google was showing that the word now appears across the internet more than nine million times. But in all these acres of electronic coverage, one hugely relevant point about these thousands of documents has largely been missed.

The reason why even the Guardian's George Monbiot has expressed total shock and dismay at the picture revealed by the documents is that their authors are not just any old bunch of academics. Their importance cannot be overestimated, What we are looking at here is the small group of scientists who have for years been more influential in driving the worldwide alarm over global warming than any others, not least through the role they play at the heart of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Professor Philip Jones, the CRU's director, is in charge of the two key sets of data used by the IPCC to draw up its reports. Through its link to the Hadley Centre, part of the UK Met Office, which selects most of the IPCC's key scientific contributors, his global temperature record is the most important of the four sets of temperature data on which the IPCC and governments rely – not least for their predictions that the world will warm to catastrophic levels unless trillions of dollars are spent to avert it.

Dr Jones is also a key part of the closely knit group of American and British scientists responsible for promoting that picture of world temperatures conveyed by Michael Mann's "hockey stick" graph which 10 years ago turned climate history on its head by showing that, after 1,000 years of decline, global temperatures have recently shot up to their highest level in recorded history.

Given star billing by the IPCC, not least for the way it appeared to eliminate the long-accepted Mediaeval Warm Period when temperatures were higher they are today, the graph became the central icon of the entire man-made global warming movement.

Since 2003, however, when the statistical methods used to create the "hockey stick" were first exposed as fundamentally flawed by an expert Canadian statistician Steve McIntyre, an increasingly heated battle has been raging between Mann's supporters, calling themselves "the Hockey Team", and McIntyre and his own allies, as they have ever more devastatingly called into question the entire statistical basis on which the IPCC and CRU construct their case.

The senders and recipients of the leaked CRU emails constitute a cast list of the IPCC's scientific elite, including not just the "Hockey Team", such as Dr Mann himself, Dr Jones and his CRU colleague Keith Briffa, but Ben Santer, responsible for a highly controversial rewriting of key passages in the IPCC's 1995 report; Kevin Trenberth, who similarly controversially pushed the IPCC into scaremongering over hurricane activity; and Gavin Schmidt, right-hand man to Al Gore's ally Dr James Hansen, whose own GISS record of surface temperature data is second in importance only to that of the CRU itself.

There are three threads in particular in the leaked documents which have sent a shock wave through informed observers across the world. Perhaps the most obvious, as lucidly put together by Willis Eschenbach (see McIntyre's blog Climate Audit and Anthony Watt's blog Watts Up With That), is the highly disturbing series of emails which show how Dr Jones and his colleagues have for years been discussing the devious tactics whereby they could avoid releasing their data to outsiders under freedom of information laws.
They have come up with every possible excuse for concealing the background data on which their findings and temperature records were based.

This in itself has become a major scandal, not least Dr Jones's refusal to release the basic data from which the CRU derives its hugely influential temperature record, which culminated last summer in his startling claim that much of the data from all over the world had simply got "lost". Most incriminating of all are the emails in which scientists are advised to delete large chunks of data, which, when this is done after receipt of a freedom of information request, is a criminal offence.

But the question which inevitably arises from this systematic refusal to release their data is – what is it that these scientists seem so anxious to hide? The second and most shocking revelation of the leaked documents is how they show the scientists trying to manipulate data through their tortuous computer programmes, always to point in only the one desired direction – to lower past temperatures and to "adjust" recent temperatures upwards, in order to convey the impression of an accelerated warming. This comes up so often (not least in the documents relating to computer data in the Harry Read Me file) that it becomes the most disturbing single element of the entire story. This is what Mr McIntyre caught Dr Hansen doing with his GISS temperature record last year (after which Hansen was forced to revise his record), and two further shocking examples have now come to light from Australia and New Zealand.

In each of these countries it has been possible for local scientists to compare the official temperature record with the original data on which it was supposedly based. In each case it is clear that the same trick has been played – to turn an essentially flat temperature chart into a graph which shows temperatures steadily rising. And in each case this manipulation was carried out under the influence of the CRU.

What is tragically evident from the Harry Read Me file is the picture it gives of the CRU scientists hopelessly at sea with the complex computer programmes they had devised to contort their data in the approved direction, more than once expressing their own desperation at how difficult it was to get the desired results.

The third shocking revelation of these documents is the ruthless way in which these academics have been determined to silence any expert questioning of the findings they have arrived at by such dubious methods – not just by refusing to disclose their basic data but by discrediting and freezing out any scientific journal which dares to publish their critics' work. It seems they are prepared to stop at nothing to stifle scientific debate in this way, not least by ensuring that no dissenting research should find its way into the pages of IPCC reports.

Back in 2006, when the eminent US statistician Professor Edward Wegman produced an expert report for the US Congress vindicating Steve McIntyre's demolition of the "hockey stick", he excoriated the way in which this same "tightly knit group" of academics seemed only too keen to collaborate with each other and to "peer review" each other's papers in order to dominate the findings of those IPCC reports on which much of the future of the US and world economy may hang. In light of the latest revelations, it now seems even more evident that these men have been failing to uphold those principles which lie at the heart of genuine scientific enquiry and debate. Already one respected US climate scientist, Dr Eduardo Zorita, has called for Dr Mann and Dr Jones to be barred from any further participation in the IPCC. Even our own George Monbiot, horrified at finding how he has been betrayed by the supposed experts he has been revering and citing for so long, has called for Dr Jones to step down as head of the CRU.

The former Chancellor Lord (Nigel) Lawson, last week launching his new think tank, the Global Warming Policy Foundation, rightly called for a proper independent inquiry into the maze of skulduggery revealed by the CRU leaks. But the inquiry mooted on Friday, possibly to be chaired by Lord Rees, President of the Royal Society – itself long a shameless propagandist for the warmist cause – is far from being what Lord Lawson had in mind. Our hopelessly compromised scientific establishment cannot be allowed to get away with a whitewash of what has become the greatest scientific scandal of our age.

Author:
Christopher Booker


Source:
Telegraph.co.uk
 
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Cartier’s 1904-PS MC mechanical movement is an automatic mechanism

Jun
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A $20 drug store watch will do if all you want is the time, but luxury watches are about more than just counting hours and minutes.

To be honest, many people buy luxury watches — generally, any watch priced at over $1,000 — because they are status symbols, planted on tag heuer watches your wrist for all to see. They are also an investment, a finely crafted piece of bejeweled artwork to pass along to future generations. But most of all, they are pure functionality taken to the extreme, precision time-keepers tuned to split-second accuracy.

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There are two notable firsts for Cartier here: this is the first watch caliber in the company’s history designed specifically for the men’s “sports†market, and it’s the first equipped with an automatic mechanical movement crafted entirely in-house at its La Chaux-de-Fonds workshop in Switzerland.

Cartier’s 1904-PS MC mechanical movement is an automatic mechanism — the watch is wound by kinetic energy, and the swing of your arm as you walk is enough to keep it ticking. But it’s particularly intricate and unique when compared to other automatic movements, and the technological standouts are numerous. It uses double barrels (most automatic watches traditionally have one), and this gives it a highly constant chronometry throughout the breitling watches 2011 duration of the watch’s 48-hour power reserve. This means the watch will display time accurately and consistently for two days after you take it off your wrist, even though at that point it’s no longer getting wound by the movement of your arm. The Calibre also has a bi-directional winding system in place rather than a more conventional one-way winding of the gears. The rotor’s motion is smoothed by ceramic ball bearings instead of oil. This protects it from shock and makes trips to the repair shop less frequent. (This extra shock resistance must be where the “sports†angle comes in.)

Obviously, the accuracy and potential longevity of the inner mechanics should be the ultimate consideration as to whether or not a watch is worth the money. But let’s face it — at this price point, the thing should also look damn good.

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Our test watch’s stainless steel band came with enough links for a rich gorilla, but you can obviously remove the links to fit smaller wrists. Ours had a black dial, but it also comes in white, and there’s a lower-priced version with a leather band as well as some much-higher-priced models in various gold settings.

At well over a quarter pound (5.3 ounces to be exact) this hulking watch felt heavy in my palm, but surprisingly not heavy at all on my wrist. The shiny, stainless steel casing and band are solid without screaming “manly,†but on my wrist, it still felt like a wholesome dose of testosterone.

I wore the Calibre to an upscale restaurant during my testing period. The chatty waitress, admiring the watch, cracked, “Is that watch big or are you just glad to see me?†She got a big tip. But seriously, the Calibre de Cartier is thick at 10mm, though it certainly isn’t as thick as other watches of this class and design. And the austere, understated look does give the impression that the wearer has refined taste. For the one month loan period when I got to wear the watch everywhere, I felt like a million bucks.

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Sales of luxury watches have continued to grow rapidly this year across the Emirates

Jun
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Sales of luxury watches have continued to grow rapidly this year across the Emirates as Chinese tourists flock to the country’s malls in search of internationally recognised brands.

Ahmed Seddiqi & Sons, one of the new omega watches Middle East’s largest watch companies, has seen double-digit growth in first five months of this year over the same period last year and aims to expand across the country in response to demand.

“People have shifted and are going back to the reassuring brands and the well-known ones,” said Christophe Nicaise, the chief executive of Ahmed Seddiqi. “It’s a bit like investors’ flight to gold and blue-chip companies after the financial crisis.”

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Mr Nicaise said sales had been buoyed by tourism in the first five months of the year, with travellers from China and Eastern Europe among the highest spenders.

About 152,000 visitors from China stayed in Dubai hotels last year, the Dubai Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing said last month, with the figure for this year expected to be at least 50 percent greater.

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According to a report released last week by the Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry, sales of tag heuer carrera Swiss watches in the UAE increased 81 percent in the first quarter compared to the same period in 2009.

The UAE and Saudi markets now account for about 6 percent of total Swiss watch exports globally.

Ahmed Seddiqi & Sons, which was established in 1950, is a family-owned business and the largest retailer of Swiss watches in the Middle East, with a portfolio of more than 50 brands.

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Casio expects growth in India to be in line with markets such as China and Russia

Jun
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Casio Computer Co., a leading Japanese player in musical instruments and watches, is renewing focus on business in India.
The company’s global heads across market planning and research and development (R&D) made a first visit to India this week in many years. The movado watches company’s subsidiary Casio India is increasing advertising spend by 200% this year compared to last year.

“Clearly, Casio’s top management’s expectations from India is increasing and we are increasing our spends in line with the growth we are witnessing here. Watches are the fastest growing category for us in India,†Kulbhushan Seth, head – sales and marketing, Casio India, said.

He said the company was doubling watch business annually as a result of its retail overhaul, where it increased distribution and visibility in modern retail outlets. On Wednesday, the company launched a new collection of its G-Shock watches in India.

Casio expects growth in India to be in line with markets such as China and Russia. “India’s contribution to global omega seamaster online for sale sales is very small, but the growth is huge here. In 3-5 years, India could start contributing 10%,†Toru Tanaka, general manager, timepiece marketing division, Casio Computer Co said. Japan continues to be the biggest market for the company while US, Europe and Asia all contribute similar sales.

“Our sales in Hong Kong, Singapore and America have been quite good, but in India we previously did not have as much retail space for our brands. We were operating out of small corners at multi-brand departmental stores. But we have now launched a new shop-in-shop concept for all our brands and have started advertising them more than before. And we are seeing that omega watch store sales in India are growing rapidly,†Tanaka said.

Casio has 90% market share in calculators and a major player in musical keyboards in the country. Its market share in watches, however, is around 3%.

The company, however, is seeing watches priced Rs3,000- 8,000 selling the fastest. It is also seeing consumers uptrading to watches priced Rs10,000-15,000 and is launching more premium watches priced upward of Rs22,000 under its Edifice brand. The company sells watches in `500-45,000 range in India.

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23

These days a Rado is just as likely to be worn by a woman as a man

Jun
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The fact is, you don’t need a watch any more. The time is displayed everywhere: on the dash of the car, on your computer screen, ticking off every second at train stations or at the airport. Yet for most of us, not wearing a watch would be unthinkable.

Watches have now become more of a fashion statement, which explains why classic designs have started to appear at auctions. Leonard Joel in Melbourne holds one or two specialist watch auctions throughout the rolex daytona discount year, with other examples included in their regular sales of jewellery.

The head of jewellery at Leonard Joel, John D’Agata, has noticed a new generation of bidders at his sales – younger people with a preference for the more modern styles.

They are buying watches to be worn everyday. The ones most popular are classics such as the Rado NCC, with its face inspired by a television screen (or an astronaut’s helmet according to some). This watch is regarded as an icon by design historians such as Professor Adrian Franklin from the buy audemars piguet ABC’s Collectors program, himself an avid modern-watch collector.

These days a Rado is just as likely to be worn by a woman as a man. D’Agata notes that few women want to buy the tiny delicate watches of the 1950s and ’60s but they prefer a men’s watch for its medium size.

A ladies’ Omega de Ville solid-gold wristwatch, circa 1970, failed to sell at the latest Leonard Joel watch auction in May, despite its tempting $1200 lower estimate.

Modern men (and women) seem to prefer something more robust, such as the omega seamaster for sale 1960 Rolex Oyster Perpetual, also offered for sale in May with an estimate of $600. Contemporary classics are also in demand, such as the (circa 2000) Omega Speedmaster Chronograph, which sold for $1200, a little less than its lower estimate.

Men’s diving watches, such as the Rolex Submariner series, have also gained a cult following. These are not necessarily worn by divers. A collector, Nick Foulkes, writes in Octane magazine, ”I suppose it is the same sort of appeal that made the Range Rover a luxury vehicle so shortly after its launch – the impression of go- robust, go-anywhere manliness is quite attractive, especially if, like me, you are not particularly robust and fairly selective about where you go.”

A Submariner in good nick can fetch a few thousand dollars at auction. The ’70s designs are the most popular.

Modern watches are a new niche area at auction and there are some bargains out there. D’Agata notes a rare Saks Fifth Avenue watch sold for $210, a wise investment, he suggests.

And another timepiece bargain will be available this Sunday as part of Leonard Joel’s second auction of pre-loved luxury items at its Melbourne showrooms in Malvern Road, South Yarra. This new concept, which includes designer outfits, jewellery and furs, was first tried in April this year and saw queues of punters lined up waiting to get in. More than 95 percent of the lots sold at higher prices than that of estimate .
On Sunday, the feature watch will be an extraordinary Piaget Tradition Diamond Limelight, dating to the conspicuous consumption days of the late 1980s. It has an 18-carat white-gold case with diamond-set bezel and diamond bracelet bands. Total diamond weight is 19½ carats.

These watches were advertised for about $200,000 at the time. Today’s tough-times estimate is a more reasonable $50,000 to $60,000.

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ÐезавиÑимо от того, Ñколько Ñлементов вы покупаете, раÑходы вÑего $ 35 до ÐºÐ¾Ñ€Ð°Ð±Ð»Ñ Ð²Ð¾ вÑем мире направлениÑ! ПредоÑтавлÑет широкий Ñпектр качеÑтвенных реплики швейцарÑких чаÑов по доÑтупным ценам. ЗдеÑÑŒ вы можете найти вÑе, что вам понравилоÑÑŒ. Таких, как реплики Rolex чаÑÑ‹, реплики омега чаÑÑ‹, реплики Breitling чаÑÑ‹, реплика Картье чаÑÑ‹, реплики теги чаÑÑ‹, реплики Panerai чаÑÑ‹. Ð’Ñе лучшие чаÑÑ‹. Ð’Ñ‹ можете легко выбрать Ñвой ÑобÑтвенный швейцарÑких наручных чаÑов реплики из широкого выбора земного шара отмечаетÑÑ Ð±Ñ€ÐµÐ½Ð´Ñ‹, как Rolex, Cartier, Breitling, Chanel, Omega, Tag, Panerai, Omega и другие. Ðо еÑли бывает так, что вы не можете вÑтретить наручные чаÑÑ‹, отмеченные фирмы, которой вы хотите обладать здеÑÑŒ, проÑто Ñкажите нашей команды по Ñтому поводу, и мы абÑолютно поможет вам вÑтретить швейцарÑкие наручные чаÑÑ‹ реплики вы ищете, и Ñделать вашу мечту доÑтупны правда! Мы отправлÑем товары к вам в качеÑтве подарков от нашей компании выражают. Это гарантирует ЕÑть нет проблем Ñ Ñ‚Ð°Ð¼Ð¾Ð¶Ð½ÐµÐ¹ и никакой налог платить. Ð’ watchesshopcom.com еÑть Ð»ÑƒÑ‡ÑˆÐ°Ñ Ñ€ÐµÐ¿Ð»Ð¸ÐºÐ° чаÑÑ‹ и лучший ÑервиÑ. под любой заказ на нашем Ñайте Купить и оплатить другие $ 35, вы можете получить штраф марку очки Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¿Ñ€Ð¾Ð²ÐµÐ´ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ñвободных и ваши лучшие чаÑÑ‹ реплики ЕÑли какой-либо Ð²Ð¾Ð¿Ñ€Ð¾Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ Ñтому деÑтельноÑти, Pls, не ÑтеÑнÑйтеÑÑŒ обращатьÑÑ Ðº обÑлуживанию клиентов по watchesshopcom.com. Ðаши уÑлуги клиент онлайн 24 чаÑа. Мы Ñ Ð½ÐµÑ‚ÐµÑ€Ð¿ÐµÐ½Ð¸ÐµÐ¼ ждем ваших звонков (1-661-268-4889) и Ñлектронной почте (serviceswatch@gmail.com)

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Ð’ рамках Ð¿Ñ€Ð°Ð·Ð´Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ Ñвоего партнерÑтва Ñ Bentley Motors, Breitling предÑтавила ÑкÑклюзивный хронограф похваÑтатьÑÑ Ñ‡Ð¸Ñлом отличительные характериÑтики Ñтого извеÑтного британÑкого производителÑ, в том чиÑле накаткой закончить на панель, вдохновленный кнопок ÑƒÐ¿Ñ€Ð°Ð²Ð»ÐµÐ½Ð¸Ñ Ð½Ð° Bentley.

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